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Tools & Techniques: Predictive Models


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80 minutes.
From 5/11/2007.
Presented by Jill Lis, Cuyahoga Health Dept. and Dr. John Griffith, Southern California Coastal Research Project

Dr. Griffith describes the role of the Southern California Coastal Water Research Project (SCCWRP) in providing independent scientific data, scientific expertise, and a neutral forum for decision-makers, scientists and the public to come together and discuss complex issues surrounding the marine environment. He focuses on recent efforts to identify, develop and implement new rapid methods for beach water quality monitoring in California. Jill Lis discusses recently-developed predictive models for Lake Erie beaches. The explanatory variables used in the models are turbidity, rainfall, wave height, water temperature, day of the year wind direction, and lake level. Two types of output are produced from the models: the predicted Escherichia coli (E. coli) concentration and the probability of exceeding the bathing-water standard.

About the Speakers:
John Griffith is a marine microbiologist that specializes in the development and testing of methods to detect and identify sources of fecal contamination and human pathogenic viruses in the marine environment. Dr. Griffith joined the Southern California Coastal Water Research Project in 2001. He earned his Ph.D. in Marine Environmental Biology at the University of Southern California, where his dissertation research focused on indicators of fecal contamination in near-shore marine waters.

Jill Lis is a Supervisor in the Environmental Health Service Area of the Cuyahoga County Board of Health in Parma, Ohio. She received her B.S. in Environmental Health from Bowling Green State University in Bowling Green, Ohio. She has been working as a Registered Sanitarian with the Board of Health since 1992 and oversees the Bathing Beach Monitoring and Public Notification Program, in addition to several other water quality programs.

More information about MSU Center for Water Sciences is at
http://cws.msu.edu/

Presented by
MSU Fisheries and Wildlife - Center for Water Sciences


This event is part of
Pathogen Workshop Series
The Pathogen Workshop Series is designed to bring together nationally renowned water scientists and individuals who have an interest and stake in the future of water in the State of Michigan. The purpose of the workshop series is to learn about sources, pathways, and impacts of pathogens in water and to discuss potential solutions. Our goals are to characterize the issues regarding pathogens in Michigan, examine methods and solutions to address those issues, and to develop a framework for monitoring pathogens.

More information is available at
http://cws.msu.edu/pathogen_wkshop.htm


List all programs in this series

A co-production of MSU Instructional Media Center and MSU Broadcasting Services.

©2007 Michigan State University

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